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Old 11-21-2021, 07:21 PM  
MMXcalibur MMXcalibur is offline
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How good are the Chiefs chances at the AFC's #1 seed?
Updated: 12/19

Teams that actually matter in this conversation:

Kansas City (10-4) (vs PIT, at CIN, at DEN)

New England (9-5) (vs BUF, vs JAC, at MIA)

Tennessee (9-5) (vs SF, vs MIA, at HOU)

Baltimore (8-5) (vs GB, at CIN, vs LAR, vs PIT)

Buffalo (8-6) (at NE, vs ATL, vs NYJ)

Indianapolis (8-6) (at ARI, vs LV, at JAC)

LA Chargers (8-6) (at HOU, vs DEN, at LV)

---

Being 1 game back with six games to play seems incredibly generous given our shitty tiebreaker situation. I'll put our odds at 99.9999999%
Last edited by MMXcalibur; 12-19-2021 at 03:13 PM..
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:28 PM   #16
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I think the Chiefs win out. The bye comes at the perfect time. This was the only game that worried me.

If that happens, the Chiefs finish 13-4.

The Bills would need to win out, but they have two games remaining against New England. A split takes care of whoever wins the East.

The Ravens are dropping a minimum of 2 more. If they don’t win the North, then that tie breaker doesn’t matter.

It really just comes down to the Titans. They’re very capable of dropping 2 more. I’ll guarantee they lose at least one.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:28 PM   #17
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Tie breakers **** is in basically every scenario if we don't have the outright best record.
The H2H sucks but we can start making up a lot of conference games in the final 6 games.

I assume if we ended 12-5 it'd come down to a TB. No way anyone else is going 13-4 IMO. Too much parity and too many flawed teams.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:29 PM   #18
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The only one I would be concerned with is the Tits and that soft schedule. But they just lost to the Texans at home.

Feeling pretty good about our chances at the #1 seed but there are still a lot of games to be played.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:29 PM   #19
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Winning out gives them a solid chance.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:30 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by -King- View Post
Tie breakers **** is in basically every scenario if we don't have the outright best record.

Gotta be 13-4 to get the #1 seed again.


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Old 11-21-2021, 07:31 PM   #21
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The only one I would be concerned with is the Tits and that soft schedule. But they just lost to the Texans at home.

Feeling pretty good about our chances at the #1 seed but there are still a lot of games to be played.
Tennessee isn’t beating New England.

That just leaves one more loss.

If nothing else, we’ll be in it until the last week of the season I’m sure.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:35 PM   #22
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Tennessee isn’t beating New England.

That just leaves one more loss.

If nothing else, we’ll be in it until the last week of the season I’m sure.
SF is starting to play much better now. The injuries are eventually going to catch up with Tennessee. They would have lost last week had NO not missed two extra points.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:37 PM   #23
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:48 PM   #24
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Honestly I've given up on it. But if you cornered me, I'd say around 40-45%. If KC had scored 30+, I'd feel around 50-55%. Regardless, the team as a whole looks like they can make a run for it.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:50 PM   #25
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Tennessee and Baltimore have proven they can lose to any worthless **** of a team.

We're going back to the Super Bowl.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:53 PM   #26
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We're gonna need help for the 1 seed. Its a strong possibility though.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:56 PM   #27
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It's not good the number of AFC games we've lost, or losing to Buf and Ten, but it's wide open. Anything is possible and not getting the no 1 seed might help us stay focused.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:57 PM   #28
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TN lost to Houston. Bills have lost to the ****ing Jags....

Anything is posssible, just got to keep winning and everything else will take care of itself.
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:59 PM   #29
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We're gonna need help for the 1 seed. Its a strong possibility though.
Remember that year we needed the Dolphins to beat the Pats?
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Old 11-21-2021, 07:59 PM   #30
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Sketchy as long as our offense is still such a mess. Mahomes is not reading defenses well, not finding the open receivers. Our receivers are dropping passes, fumbling the ball, generally doing dumb stuff.

Until Mahomes becomes the Half-A-Billion dollar man again, we are on the outside looking in.
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