Home Discord Chat
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > Nzoner's Game Room
Register FAQDonate Members List Calendar

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 11-21-2021, 07:21 PM  
MMXcalibur MMXcalibur is offline
Pessimistically optimistic.
 
MMXcalibur's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Denver, CO
Casino cash: $-144914
How good are the Chiefs chances at the AFC's #1 seed?

Updated: 12/19

Teams that actually matter in this conversation:

Kansas City (10-4) (vs PIT, at CIN, at DEN)

New England (9-5) (vs BUF, vs JAC, at MIA)

Tennessee (9-5) (vs SF, vs MIA, at HOU)

Baltimore (8-5) (vs GB, at CIN, vs LAR, vs PIT)

Buffalo (8-6) (at NE, vs ATL, vs NYJ)

Indianapolis (8-6) (at ARI, vs LV, at JAC)

LA Chargers (8-6) (at HOU, vs DEN, at LV)

---

Being 1 game back with six games to play seems incredibly generous given our shitty tiebreaker situation. I'll put our odds at 99.9999999%

Last edited by MMXcalibur; 12-19-2021 at 03:13 PM..
Posts: 16,747
MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.MMXcalibur is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 08:54 AM   #211
BleedingRed BleedingRed is offline
Banned
 

Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
Casino cash: $3290400
We don't need the ****ing #1 seed anymore. We have the experience to go anywhere and play.

**** IT, WILL DO IT LIVE
Posts: 28,395
BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 09:24 AM   #212
RealSNR RealSNR is offline
Special Teams ACE!!!
 
RealSNR's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Where the hell is SNR
Casino cash: $-1374792
Quote:
Originally Posted by RaidersOftheCellar View Post
People were scared of average Titans teams the past few years, and now that they actually have a defense (and handed the Chiefs their worst loss in a long time), they're a joke?

When healthy, they were solid.

What do you mean? Their defense is the worst it’s been in several years. Certainly their defense from the AFC Championship a few years ago is better than what they have now (or did have earlier in the season)

Just because we shit the bed against them doesn’t mean they have a great defense. They don’t
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Reaper16 View Post
I would read an entire blog of SNR breaking down athletes' musical capabilities like draft scouting reports.
Posts: 93,326
RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 09:26 AM   #213
RealSNR RealSNR is offline
Special Teams ACE!!!
 
RealSNR's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Where the hell is SNR
Casino cash: $-1374792
Quote:
Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
You're missing Baltimore in that equation, who is honestly the odds-on favorite at this point.

I’ll buy you a box of doughnuts if Baltimore gets the 1 seed.

Not happening. It’s gonna be the patriots or the chiefs.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Reaper16 View Post
I would read an entire blog of SNR breaking down athletes' musical capabilities like draft scouting reports.
Posts: 93,326
RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.RealSNR is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 09:29 AM   #214
Direckshun Direckshun is offline
__
 

Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Springpatch
Casino cash: $2083447
Quote:
Originally Posted by RealSNR View Post
I’ll buy you a box of doughnuts if Baltimore gets the 1 seed.

Not happening. It’s gonna be the patriots or the chiefs.
Patriots have a doable path, for sure. The Chiefs have to run the table. If we do, the Patriots can lose the lead on us if they lose one game, just one game. But they don't have many potential losses on their calendar -- the duo with Buffalo is about it for them. So if we lose once, which I expect we'll do, we almost certainly lose out.

Baltimore has to lose twice, of course, if we run the table. Baltimore has a hell of a schedule ahead of them and very well may lose twice.

I just think the hardest equation here is us running the table -- we have a doable schedule but expecting perfection down the stretch is hard for anyone, much less our mistake prone squad this year.
Posts: 59,692
Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.Direckshun is obviously part of the inner Circle.
Thumbs Up 1 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 09:35 AM   #215
crispystl crispystl is offline
MVP
 
crispystl's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jun 2004
Casino cash: $-2014860
Quote:
Originally Posted by Coochie liquor View Post
I just don’t see a blowout. Matter of fact I think the Pats win this game. Buffalo has no running game, or RB to scare anyone. Bill will clamp down the pass D with lots of pressure on Allen, and dare them to run (which they can’t). Plus how many big games have we seen Allen choke under high pressure? I think it’s a close game the Pats win.
I concur. Plus the Pats will be in the Bills' head.
Posts: 7,213
crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 09:44 AM   #216
crispystl crispystl is offline
MVP
 
crispystl's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jun 2004
Casino cash: $-2014860
Quote:
Originally Posted by Direckshun View Post
You're missing Baltimore in that equation, who is honestly the odds-on favorite at this point.
Oh no he was referring to "contenders". He didn't miss anyone.
Posts: 7,213
crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.crispystl Forgot to Remove His Claytex and Got Toxic Shock Syndrome.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 09:50 AM   #217
DaFace DaFace is offline
Kind of a mod
 
DaFace's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Donkey Land
Casino cash: $-1723101
Playing around with the NYT simulator a bit, it looks like we would have a pretty good shot at it (~75% chance) if we win out. That's taking into account all of the other likely scenarios for other teams. A single loss drops that down to ~20%, though.

So yeah, we can definitely do it, but it's almost certainly going to require running the table.
Posts: 53,142
DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.DaFace is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 09:53 AM   #218
Red Dawg Red Dawg is online now
Going home eventually
 
Red Dawg's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2002
Casino cash: $1392858
Quote:
Originally Posted by BleedingRed View Post
We don't need the ****ing #1 seed anymore. We have the experience to go anywhere and play.

**** IT, WILL DO IT LIVE
That's good to know because we are not getting it without a total melt down by the Titans and Pats.
__________________
If you're not first you're last!
Posts: 33,112
Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.Red Dawg is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 09:58 AM   #219
BleedingRed BleedingRed is offline
Banned
 

Join Date: Mar 2016
Location: Houston, Tx
Casino cash: $3290400
Quote:
Originally Posted by Red Dawg View Post
That's good to know because we are not getting it without a total melt down by the Titans and Pats.
Pats will drop 1 or 2 before post season, same with Titans. It's the Ravens we have to worry about.
Posts: 28,395
BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.BleedingRed is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 09:59 AM   #220
RunKC RunKC is online now
Andy Reid Supporter
 
RunKC's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2012
Casino cash: $-1480389
Are people really afraid of the Patriots and a rookie QB? You guys realize they have beat only 2 winning teams all year right?

And one of them was last Sunday against a nuetered injury rittled team
__________________
Mike Greenberg@Espngreeny
I can’t fathom what it must be like to be a fan of the #Chiefs.


Adopt a Chief: Jared Wiley
Posts: 52,112
RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.RunKC is obviously part of the inner Circle.
Thumbs Up 2 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 10:06 AM   #221
arrwheader arrwheader is offline
Veteran
 
arrwheader's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2011
Casino cash: $126613
Would love the 1 seed but after the tumultuous start of the season, still just feel like win the division get into the playoffs and we have as good a shot as any. Would be happy with 2 seed as well. Got a chance to still play at arrowhead throughout the playoffs if the 1 seed gets knocked out.

Baltimore is losing to GB and probably the rams. I can even see them splitting with the Browns.

Pats have a pretty good chance but Bill has lost to the dolphins in the past so don't count them as a shoe in for it. They probably split with Buffalo and could lose to the colts.

Gonna come down to the last game this year I think. Seems like the NFL backlogged division games more this year





Sent from my SM-F711U1 using Tapatalk
Posts: 3,547
arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.arrwheader is blessed with 50/50 Hindsight.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 10:08 AM   #222
Bearcat Bearcat is offline
Would an idiot do that?
 
Bearcat's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Arizona
Casino cash: $-915069
Quote:
Originally Posted by RunKC View Post
Are people really afraid of the Patriots and a rookie QB? You guys realize they have beat only 2 winning teams all year right?

And one of them was last Sunday against a nuetered injury rittled team
And the other is 6-5.
Posts: 59,485
Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.Bearcat is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 10:11 AM   #223
htismaqe htismaqe is offline
'Tis my eye!
 
htismaqe's Avatar
 

Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Chiefsplanet
Casino cash: $8179900
Quote:
Originally Posted by RunKC View Post
Are people really afraid of the Patriots and a rookie QB? You guys realize they have beat only 2 winning teams all year right?

And one of them was last Sunday against a nuetered injury rittled team
Not to mention that they're playing complimentary football - rush heavy to help keep things simple for him.

Things will ramp up in the playoffs. He'll have to play even better than he is right now. We saw what happens even to the best rookies when that happens.
Posts: 104,293
htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.htismaqe is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 10:13 AM   #224
mr. tegu mr. tegu is online now
Forever Royal
 
mr. tegu's Avatar
 

Join Date: Mar 2012
Casino cash: $-1738700
How good are the Chiefs chances at the AFC's #1 seed?

The Chiefs have a better chance of winning out than the Patriots. They could easily be 0-3 in their next three games with two against the Bills and the Colts sandwiched between them with 1-2 seeming pretty likely to me.
Posts: 26,500
mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.mr. tegu is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Old 11-30-2021, 10:13 AM   #225
ptlyon ptlyon is offline
Bono & Grbac wasn't enough
 

Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: Sioux City, IA
Casino cash: $9393829
Quote:
Originally Posted by arrwheader View Post

Gonna come down to the last game this year I think.
This statement got me intrigued, so I went to look.

Every AFC game in week 18 is a noon game, except the AFCW matchups.
__________________
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Advertise here: $19.99 a month
Posts: 40,735
ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.ptlyon is obviously part of the inner Circle.
    Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump




All times are GMT -6. The time now is 09:10 AM.


This is a test for a client's site.
Fort Worth Texas Process Servers
Covering Arlington, Fort Worth, Grand Prairie and surrounding communities.
Tarrant County, Texas and Johnson County, Texas.
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.