Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
I find it odd that on one hand you say 'is there any real difference between 29 and 45' and then on the other say 'well we shouldn't expect to have a high success rate on those middle round picks...'
If your central thesis is correct - that late 1sts aren't that much more valuable than 2nds, then wouldn't the answer be trading BACK?
Unless you think that the chances of success increase exponentially at around 20 and before, then getting 'more darts' (to use your own analogy) is substantially more valuable than moving closer to the dart board.
And frankly that's what the math seems to suggest as well.
A cheap trade-up for a specific target would be fine. Alternatively, they should be looking to get MORE picks in the 2nd and 3rd rounds, not trade them away.
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Oh, I'm 100% on board with trading back for picks.
The problem is, who are people gonna wanna trade up for?
In the end, it comes down to your trust for your scouting.
04-06-2022, 08:01 AM
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