Is there any team that we do not want to face early on IF we get the

[notorious]

Originally Posted by DaFace

I posted this in a different thread, but this site gives probabilities for the various scenarios. Based on that, our potential opponents are:

50% - Bye
28% - Dolphins
9% - Steelers
6% - Ravens
5% - Patriots
2% - Jaguars

Damn, we are 50/50 to get home field.

That's pretty damn good odds TBH.

[DaFace]

Originally Posted by notorious

Damn, we are 50/50 to get home field.

That's pretty damn good odds TBH.

Their model is pretty simplistic (just using W-L ratio I believe), but still. Looking around online, it's generally in the range of 45-50% Chiefs, 40-45% Bills, and 5-10% Bengals for the 1 seed.

It's mostly just driven by the fact that the Bills have to win twice to get the bye, and we just have to win once.