My Annual "Screw the Chiefs" Mock

[DJ's left nut]

Originally Posted by kcbubb

I’d take Hampton. He’d instantly help Mahomes. Play action would actually work. It would also help Jaylon Moore. Hampton is closer to Jonathan Taylor than CEH. Hampton is a better prospect than a young Kareem Hunt. Hampton could change this offense if Andy would run the ball. We could keep defenses honest.

Hampton is more floor than ceiling to me.

I think there's a 70% chance that he's a starting RB and gets a 2nd contract in the league. That's an awfully high floor.

But I think there's maybe a 10% chance where he's good enough to make teams think "man, we need to give him more attention and force.....Patrick Mahomes....to beat us..."

If I'm taking a 1st round RB for this team, I care FAR more about the ceiling. The floor is largely immaterial. If you can't force teams to adjust how they defend the pass, I don't need you in the 1st round. You're not a force multiplier at that point.

And I don't think Hampton can do that.

So I'd rather take the chance on Henderson who's odds of being a starting RB are lower than Hamptons but who's odds of being a DYNAMIC starting RB are higher than Hamptons.

Using the hockey scale I found years back where the Number is the ceiling and the letter is the odds of reaching it I'd say:

Hampton: 7.5(B)
Henderson: 9(C)

For this team at this time, I'm going to put far more emphasis on the number than the letter.