Top 5 Pick Success Rate

[htismaqe]

Originally Posted by CrazyHorse

If I personally picked Sanchez it would be out of desperation. Not because I thougt he was the best player. Is that the way to build a winner?

I'm in my mid 40's and have been a Chiefs fan for all of those senarios you guys speak of. But a knee jerk reaction is not the answer either. I've also seen how that works out.

I realize you think the guy will get it done in the long run. I don't. That's the difference.

You want to keep throwing up the history of the Chiefs in my face as a valid arguement of what not to do. However, you skate the same way of evaluating the player you want. If you look at history, Sanchez will bust.

Does that make it 100% absolute that it will happen? No. But there is no QB that has ever been taken that has succeeded under these circumstances.

Not drafting a player like that doesn't make you scared, it makes you dilligent.

At some point, though, you have to kick diligence to the curb and take a chance. If you don't, you do the "prudent" thing every year and you never end up adding the pieces you need to win it all. EVERY QB, every year, has question marks, even Manning had them. He couldn't win the big game, they said. You just can't keep putting it off forever.

I could understand the argument that Sanchez is TOO risky if there were players on the board that had better value, but there just isn't. This draft SUCKS at the top - absolutely sucks.