Brady has lost 5 with the same players Matt had...

[OnTheWarpath15]

Originally Posted by Marcellus

JFC you are stubborn.

Once again would you rather play 2 hard games and 14 easier ones or 2 easy ones and 14 harder ones?

Answer that question and you have the answer to this whole ****ing subject. It's not that hard to understand.

Stubborn?

I'm not the jackass that thinks playing one cupcake, (Tampa) a division rival who's 4-8 and 14 teams who are are playing competitive football (including 2 undefeated teams) is easier than playing 4 cupcakes, and 12 teams that were competitive - none of which were undefeated.

You can break it down however you want.

Last year, they played 3 teams that won more than 10 games.

This year, they'll play 3 teams than won more than 10 games, unless Denver loses 3 of their last 4.

Last year, they played 6 teams that were within 2 games either side of .500 (6-10 to 10-6)

This year, it's difficult to predict, because there are still 4 weeks to go. Even conservatively, you would expect the following teams to fall between 6 and 10 wins:

Miami, Jets, Atlanta, Baltimore and Jacksonville are already there. (5)

Tennessee, Carolina and Houston are one win away. (3)

Buffalo would have to go .500 to get there.

Realistically, that's 8 teams that fall in the 6-10 win range, compared to 6 in 2008.

Then, there's the bottom of the barrel teams. 5 wins or less.

2008: STL, KC, Seattle and Oakland. (4)

2009: Tampa. Outside chance that Buffalo loses 3 of their last 4. (2, at max)


Top third teams: Even

Middle third teams: More in 2009

Bottom third teams: More in 2008

So, in your world, I guess this means that playing better teams some how means an easier schedule.

[Marcellus]

Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58

You can break it down however you want.

Last year, they played 3 teams that won more than 10 games.

This year, they'll play 3 teams than won more than 10 games, unless Denver loses 3 of their last 4.

Last year, they played 6 teams that were within 2 games either side of .500 (6-10 to 10-6)

This year, it's difficult to predict, because there are still 4 weeks to go. Even conservatively, you would expect the following teams to fall between 6 and 10 wins:

Miami, Jets, Atlanta, Baltimore and Jacksonville are already there. (5)

Tennessee, Carolina and Houston are one win away. (3)

Buffalo would have to go .500 to get there.

Realistically, that's 8 teams that fall in the 6-10 win range, compared to 6 in 2008.

Then, there's the bottom of the barrel teams. 5 wins or less.

2008: STL, KC, Seattle and Oakland. (4)

2009: Tampa. Outside chance that Buffalo loses 3 of their last 4. (2, at max)

2 major flaws in this. You are not taking into account that division rivals are played 2x. You keep using the term teams with x record. It should be games against teams with x record. Immediately that puts them playing 4 games against teams last year with better than 11 wins not 3 with better than 10. In fact it is 2 games against 11 wins (Miami) and 2 against 12 wins (Indy and Pitt)

That by itself makes last years schedule tougher using your top and bottom tier logic.

Then you want to say teams with 6-10 wins are equal in this analysis. BMFS. You cannot tell me a 6 win team is equal to a 10 win team so using that as your cut off line is ****ing reeruned.