News ***THE OFFICIAL WINTER STORM Q PANIC THREAD***

RedDread · 02-22-2013, 12:06 PM

http://forecast.weather.gov/product....n=1&glossary=1

"Depending on thermal profiles, which appear to be right on
the border line of rain vs snow/mixed precip, the ECMWF solution
could result in another round of heavy snows across much of the
forecast area on Monday (taking its output verbatim results in 10"+
for some spots). However, it`s entirely too early to start sounding
the alarms on major winter storm #2 since the these rapidly
occluding systems have inherently low predictability. And as
yesterday showed, sometimes models can make dramatic shifts in track
and precip types with these occluding systems even 12-24 hours out.
If this storm shows the same southward trends that the last system
showed then the heaviest precip may miss most of our area to the
south. So we will remain in wait and see mode for a few more days
but the system certainly bears watching."

02-22-2013, 12:06 PM	#25
RedDread Veteran Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Back in KC Casino cash: $10007771	http://forecast.weather.gov/product....n=1&glossary=1 "Depending on thermal profiles, which appear to be right on the border line of rain vs snow/mixed precip, the ECMWF solution could result in another round of heavy snows across much of the forecast area on Monday (taking its output verbatim results in 10"+ for some spots). However, it`s entirely too early to start sounding the alarms on major winter storm #2 since the these rapidly occluding systems have inherently low predictability. And as yesterday showed, sometimes models can make dramatic shifts in track and precip types with these occluding systems even 12-24 hours out. If this storm shows the same southward trends that the last system showed then the heaviest precip may miss most of our area to the south. So we will remain in wait and see mode for a few more days but the system certainly bears watching."
Posts: 4,167