Football QBs picked in the first two rounds 06-10....and their fates.

Deberg_1990 · 09-02-2013, 07:28 PM

From Peter King.....

I think it wasn’t a good weekend for bonus baby quarterbacks, and not just ones named Tebow. Five quarterbacks picked in the top 50 of the last seven drafts were cut: Vince Young and Matt Leinart (2006), Brady Quinn (2007) and Tim Tebow and Jimmy Clausen (2010). Brian Billick says picking a quarterback is no better than a 50-50 proposition between success and failure. Let’s see, based on the five drafts between 2006 and 2010. (It’s too early to make definitive judgments on quarterbacks in the league for two or fewer years.) Let’s look at the quarterbacks picked in the top two rounds from 2006 to 2010, and their fate:

Of the 21 quarterbacks drafted in the top two rounds of these five drafts, six are solid starters, and eight are out of football.

Let’s now cut it down to first-rounders only. Billick, it turns out, is on the money. If you don’t count Sanchez as a starter—and I don’t see how you can term him a starter right now—six of the 12 first-round picks over a five-year period are starting in the league. So it’s still a crapshoot. Six players in the first two rounds of the ’11 draft will be opening-day starters, but let’s see if Blaine Gabbert and Christian Ponder, among others, can stand the test of time.

http://mmqb.si.com/2013/09/02/kevin-...quarterback/4/

**LoneWolf** · 09-02-2013, 07:34 PM

12 first round QBs and 5 legit starters. At less than 50% it is certainly no guarantee, but I still believe that is the best place to find a QB to win SuperBowls with.

Chiefs Pantalones · 09-02-2013, 07:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneWolf

12 first round QBs and 5 legit starters. At less than 50% it is certainly no guarantee, but I still believe that is the best place to find a QB to win SuperBowls with.

The overall stats agree with you.

Fat Elvis · 09-02-2013, 07:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneWolf

12 first round QBs and 5 legit starters. At less than 50% it is certainly no guarantee, but I still believe that is the best place to find a QB to win SuperBowls with.

Only one had been to a Super Bowl let alone won it....

**LoneWolf** · 09-02-2013, 07:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fat Elvis

Only one had been to a Super Bowl let alone won it....

Eli Manning and Aaron Rodgers have blocked a couple of the Gus on that list and there both first rounders.

Russell Wilson and Kaepernick could definitely skew the numbers the other way over the next ten years.

Fat Elvis · 09-02-2013, 07:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneWolf

12 first round QBs and 5 legit starters. At less than 50% it is certainly no guarantee, but I still believe that is the best place to find a QB to win SuperBowls with.

8% isn't the type of success rate I would bang the table over....

**Bugeater** · 09-02-2013, 07:47 PM

Yeah, it's better to not take the risk by picking one at all.

Discuss Thrower · 09-02-2013, 07:48 PM

Only 4 of those on that list have won a playoff game..

BigBeauford · 09-02-2013, 07:48 PM

When you find your franchise qb, you also tend to keep him for 8-10 years.

BigBeauford · 09-02-2013, 07:49 PM

Also, its great fun to pick a stretch of substandard quarterbacks.

Deberg_1990 · 09-02-2013, 07:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBeauford

Also, its great fun to pick a stretch of substandard quarterbacks.

Heh, yes, that 5 year stretch was a particularly bad run of QBs.

**Bugeater** · 09-02-2013, 07:53 PM

I'm sure the success rate increases exponentially in the subsequent rounds. No sense in wasting an important 1st round pick on a QB.

Fat Elvis · 09-02-2013, 07:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bugeater

Yeah, it's better to not take the risk by picking one at all.

WTF is wrong with you people; I swear some people on this board seriously do not know the difference between risk and sheer stupidity. I have yet to encounter a single poster who says "Do not pick a QB in round 1 at all costs." Yet, that is what you people twist in your minds as being said.

Kaepernick · 09-02-2013, 07:56 PM

And yet the failure rate outside of the first 2 rounds is so much higher.

All draft prospects are a crap shoot. Some pan, some don't, some exceed expectations. But it is not like it is a random draw. Your ODDS of success are so much higher in the 1st round than in the 7th.

**Bugeater** · 09-02-2013, 07:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fat Elvis

WTF is wrong with you people; I swear some people on this board seriously do not know the difference between risk and sheer stupidity. I have yet to encounter a single poster who says "Do not pick a QB in round 1 at all costs." Yet, that is what you people twist in your minds as being said.

The article is sheer stupidity. YO BREAKING NEWS A 1ST ROUND QB ONLY HAS A 50% SUCCESS RATE.

Well no ****ing shit.

09-02-2013, 07:28 PM
Deberg_1990 In Search of a Life Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: San Antonio Tx. Casino cash: $114454	QBs picked in the first two rounds 06-10....and their fates. From Peter King..... I think it wasn’t a good weekend for bonus baby quarterbacks, and not just ones named Tebow. Five quarterbacks picked in the top 50 of the last seven drafts were cut: Vince Young and Matt Leinart (2006), Brady Quinn (2007) and Tim Tebow and Jimmy Clausen (2010). Brian Billick says picking a quarterback is no better than a 50-50 proposition between success and failure. Let’s see, based on the five drafts between 2006 and 2010. (It’s too early to make definitive judgments on quarterbacks in the league for two or fewer years.) Let’s look at the quarterbacks picked in the top two rounds from 2006 to 2010, and their fate: Of the 21 quarterbacks drafted in the top two rounds of these five drafts, six are solid starters, and eight are out of football. Let’s now cut it down to first-rounders only. Billick, it turns out, is on the money. If you don’t count Sanchez as a starter—and I don’t see how you can term him a starter right now—six of the 12 first-round picks over a five-year period are starting in the league. So it’s still a crapshoot. Six players in the first two rounds of the ’11 draft will be opening-day starters, but let’s see if Blaine Gabbert and Christian Ponder, among others, can stand the test of time. http://mmqb.si.com/2013/09/02/kevin-...quarterback/4/ Attached Thumbnails
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09-02-2013, 07:34 PM	#2
LoneWolf Constable of Untruths Join Date: Oct 2010 Location: Wichita Casino cash: $-948916	12 first round QBs and 5 legit starters. At less than 50% it is certainly no guarantee, but I still believe that is the best place to find a QB to win SuperBowls with.
Posts: 15,432

09-02-2013, 07:47 PM	#7
Bugeater The Maintenance Guy Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: Renovated Bugeater Estate Casino cash: $3992680	Yeah, it's better to not take the risk by picking one at all.
Posts: 70,546

09-02-2013, 07:48 PM	#8
Discuss Thrower "You like to drink?" Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: "I like to drink." Casino cash: $-370000	Only 4 of those on that list have won a playoff game.. __________________ Chiefs 2016 Opponents: Home: JAX, TEN, NO, TB, NYJ. Away: HOU, IND, ATL, CAR, PIT Chiefs 2017 Opponents: Home: BUF, MIA, PHI, WSH, AFC North. Away: NE, NYJ, NYG, DAL, AFC South
Posts: 45,264

09-02-2013, 07:48 PM	#9
BigBeauford MVP Join Date: Oct 2012 Location: Lenexa, KS Casino cash: $1456717	When you find your franchise qb, you also tend to keep him for 8-10 years.
Posts: 14,411

09-02-2013, 07:49 PM	#10
BigBeauford MVP Join Date: Oct 2012 Location: Lenexa, KS Casino cash: $1456717	Also, its great fun to pick a stretch of substandard quarterbacks.
Posts: 14,411

09-02-2013, 07:53 PM	#12
Bugeater The Maintenance Guy Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: Renovated Bugeater Estate Casino cash: $3992680	I'm sure the success rate increases exponentially in the subsequent rounds. No sense in wasting an important 1st round pick on a QB.
Posts: 70,546