Home Discord Chat
Go Back   ChiefsPlanet > Nzoner's Game Room
Reload this Page Chiefs 538, FPI, experts all about 63% Chiefs win prob
Register FAQDonate Members List Calendar

Reply
Page 1 of 2 1 2
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 01-30-2020, 11:04 PM  
jerryaldini jerryaldini is offline
MVP
 
jerryaldini's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2018
Casino cash: $4340400
538, FPI, experts all about 63% Chiefs win prob
538 elo model. 63 percent, 3.5 point favorites
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...uper-bowl-liv/

72 "expert" picks. 62 percent, 4 point favorites
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.esp...3fplatform=amp

ESPN football power index. 65 percent
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/pag...ll-power-index

Schefter just said on ESPN he has never seen a super bowl team as confident as the Chiefs at this stage

Lots of Mahomes/Chiefs praise, Schefter on Get Up this morning
Last edited by jerryaldini; 01-30-2020 at 11:06 PM.. Reason: edit
Posts: 7,365
jerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellijerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellijerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellijerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellijerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellijerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellijerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellijerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellijerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellijerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitellijerryaldini 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitelli
     Reply With Quote
Old 01-30-2020, 11:06 PM   #2
Paniero Paniero is offline
Chief Boot Knocker
 
Paniero's Avatar
 

Join Date: Sep 2005
Casino cash: $8976756
Beat the 49ers.
__________________
The Devil of DFW.
Posts: 684
Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.Paniero must have mowed badgirl's lawn.
 Thumbs Up 2 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Old 01-30-2020, 11:07 PM   #3
BWillie BWillie is offline
El Gato Gordo Loco
 
BWillie's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Earth
Casino cash: $2151241
I want to see us win by four touchdowns

Make a statement

The Chiefs are the one who knocks.
__________________


Who wants free money?

Use the link below to sign up at Bovada, BetOnline, Black Chip Poker and Ignition. Contact me for private deals, spot bonuses, possible rakeback or any questions!

Bovada, Ignition, BetOnline, Black Chip Poker: baldeaglepoker.com

Bovada Poker is back! Get up to $500 poker deposit bonus.
Posts: 46,279
BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.BWillie is obviously part of the inner Circle.
 Thumbs Up 4 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Old 01-30-2020, 11:11 PM   #4
Hammock Parties Hammock Parties is offline
I'll be back.
 
Hammock Parties's Avatar
 

Join Date: Nov 2002
Casino cash: $4430478
We have that 99 Rams look.

They all know they can't be stopped.
__________________
Chiefs game films
Posts: 278,674
Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.Hammock Parties is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 01-30-2020, 11:15 PM   #5
Chefmatt34 Chefmatt34 is offline
Rookie
 

Join Date: Dec 2018
Casino cash: $10000400
It's time for the lions to show the jackals who he is.
It's too late to be scared....Its time to kill.
Posts: 7
Chefmatt34 is a favorite in the douche of the year contest.
     Reply With Quote
Old 01-30-2020, 11:27 PM   #6
Kman34 Kman34 is offline
My Mamma Says
 
Kman34's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Glass Cage Of Emotion
Casino cash: $1691786
VARSITY
__________________
SFC... Stay ****ing Calm..
Posts: 13,953
Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Kman34 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
 Thumbs Up 2 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Old 01-30-2020, 11:29 PM   #7
staylor26 staylor26 is offline
In Search of a Life
 
staylor26's Avatar
 

Join Date: Oct 2007
Casino cash: $1509040
All of that means nothing.
Posts: 49,136
staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.staylor26 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2020, 12:47 AM   #8
Megatron96 Megatron96 is offline
Suupraa Geniuuusss
 
Megatron96's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: Phoenix, AZ
Casino cash: $1670400
Been seeing the same kinds of analyses. A lot of the math is a bit advanced for me, or at least advanced enough that I don't have a desire to dig into it that much.

A lot of it tends to boil down to a fairly simple idea though: which team/player(s) have to play a more perfect game to win? For example, does Mahomes or Jimmy have to play a more perfect game? Kelce vs. Kittle? Their OL vs. our DL? And so on.

Bottom line, the Niners in all three phases have to play nearly perfectly to win.

The Chiefs only need about 80% of their absolute best offensive effort, 80% of their best defensive effort, and maybe 90% of their best St effort to win.


We have more room for error, mostly because of Mahomes, but more precisely because of our team's offensive efficiency. We can literally afford to make more mistakes in the other two phases because our offense can score so rapidly and so prolifically.

The Niners team doesn't have that luxury. If their defense doesn't play at a very high level, we just score more and their offense won't be able to keep up. If they make too many mistakes on ST, those probably translate into quick points and again their offense won't be able to make up the difference. If their offense stalls just five times in this game, they probably lose. They are going to need to score a TD on nearly every possession. Or their defense is going to have to score some points. Or they're going to have to score with their ST.

The Chiefs only need to score with their offense. The other two units only need to play efficiently and not make mistakes.
Last edited by Megatron96; 01-31-2020 at 12:54 AM..
Posts: 30,218
Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.Megatron96 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
 Thumbs Up 2 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2020, 12:52 AM   #9
suzzer99 suzzer99 is offline
In Search of a Life
 
suzzer99's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: L.A.
Casino cash: $2684284
Feels about right.
Posts: 27,305
suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.suzzer99 is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2020, 12:58 AM   #10
RetiredSeniorChief RetiredSeniorChief is offline
**** Off Pedro Protectors
 

Join Date: Dec 2018
Casino cash: $5980400
I don't want a good game, I want a 49-0 beat down where the game is never in doubt.
Posts: 8,442
RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.RetiredSeniorChief is too fat/Omaha.
 Thumbs Up 1 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2020, 01:12 AM   #11
UK_Chief UK_Chief is offline
Veteran
 

Join Date: Nov 2012
Casino cash: $6856512
Would love a blow out - we’re f***ing here to say mofos
Posts: 1,723
UK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliUK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliUK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliUK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliUK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliUK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliUK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliUK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliUK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliUK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby PiscitelliUK_Chief 's adopt a chief was Sabby Piscitelli
     Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2020, 04:44 AM   #12
mdchiefsfan mdchiefsfan is offline
Supporter
 
mdchiefsfan's Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2009
Casino cash: $3293904
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kman34 View Post
Perfect
__________________
2017 Adopt-A-Chief:TYREEK HILL
Posts: 10,760
mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.mdchiefsfan is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2020, 06:40 AM   #13
warpaint* warpaint* is offline
Facts are stubborn things.
 
warpaint*'s Avatar
 

Join Date: Dec 2008
Casino cash: $6974900
How accurate are those things generally?
__________________
Posts: 1,578
warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.warpaint* is too fat/Omaha.
     Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2020, 06:49 AM   #14
digger digger is offline
Thread I will end you.......
 
digger's Avatar
 

Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Kansas City, KS
Casino cash: $1542608
VARSITY
__________________

Patrick Mahomes II MVP 2X
Super Bowl MVP 3x
Travis Kelce TE GOAT
Posts: 8,980
digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.digger is obviously part of the inner Circle.
     Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2020, 07:12 AM   #15
Nzoner Nzoner is offline
a haw haw haw
 
Nzoner's Avatar
 

Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: MIZZOU
Casino cash: $26365802
Quote:
Originally Posted by BWillie View Post
I want to see us win by four touchdowns

Make a statement

The Chiefs are the one who knocks.
Having had the opportunity to be at SB XXII my memories of that game are still very good and I've seen our Chiefs do a few times now what the Redskins did in that game and would be just fine with seeing it again.

The Redskins got off to a shaky start and found themselves down to Denver 10-0 after one quarter.What came next was a quarter for the history books as the Skins exploded for 5 td's on 18 plays in the 2nd quarter.Denver never scored again and the final was 42-10

__________________
Therefore, if anyone is in Christ, he is a new creation; old things have passed away; behold, all things have become new.
Posts: 27,111
Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.Nzoner is obviously part of the inner Circle.
 Thumbs Up 1 Thumbs Down 0     Reply With Quote
Reply
Page 1 of 2 1 2

« Previous Thread | > Nzoner's Game Room < | Next Thread »

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump




All times are GMT -6. The time now is 07:38 AM.

Contact Us - ChiefsPlanet - Archive - Top

This is a test for a client's site.
Fort Worth Texas Process Servers
Covering Arlington, Fort Worth, Grand Prairie and surrounding communities.
Tarrant County, Texas and Johnson County, Texas.
Advertise with us!
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.