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12-07-2015, 04:20 PM | |
Kind of a mod
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Playoff chances, seeds, rooting guide, etc.
I always think it's fun to watch how our playoff chances shift from week to week as we get closer to the end of the year. Though we don't have cdcox's software to play with this time around, there are a number of websites you can use to get a similar idea of how things will work out.
A couple resources I like: 538.com's predictor updates after very game, includes game win probabilities and probabilities for a variety of playoff scenarios. Based on an Elo model that (if I understand it correctly) basically just looks at end-of-game score differentials compared to predicted differentials to arrive at a power rating of sorts. The New York Times has a simulator kind of like what cdcox's software used to do. It's based on Sagarin ratings, which have a complicated methodology that isn't even entirely known, but it's some sort of model. The nice thing about this one is that you can mess with scenarios to see how they impact our odds. Feel free to post other resources, power rankings, whatever. I mostly just want a place for me to post my random thoughts about the possibilities! |
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12-21-2015, 09:37 PM | #91 |
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KC vs Houston would be appropriate since the Royals had to beat Houston too.
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12-21-2015, 10:05 PM | #92 |
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12-22-2015, 06:24 AM | #93 |
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This is amazing after the start of the season,unbeiveable
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12-22-2015, 07:31 AM | #94 |
In BB I trust
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I certainly hope and expect the Patriots to beat the Jets, but it isn't a foregone conclusion. Amendola left the game limping last week, and if he's out, and Edelman remains out (uncertain), then that leaves Gronk and a bunch of guys nobody has ever heard of against a pretty good defense in their own house.
And the Pats defense may be without McCourty and Hightower. So it might all come down to whether it's a good Fitzpatrick, or bad Fitzpatrick, that plays on Sunday, cuz the Pats sure as hell are limping to the finish line... Having already clinched a bye, Belichick may decide that being healthy for the playoffs is more important than whether the Pats are the 1 or 2 seed. That may mean reduced playing time for Gronk etc. I dunno. Just saying.
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12-22-2015, 07:36 AM | #95 |
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Don't have time to break them all down, but FYI about half of the things you've said in this thread are factually inaccurate.
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12-22-2015, 07:54 AM | #96 |
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If KC wins out and the Broncos lose 1 game, then KC takes the division.
If KC wins out and Broncos win out, KC is pretty much guaranteed the 5 spot. IF KC loses one game, then all hell breaks loose between KC, NYJ and PITT and everyone in Missouri becomes a Pats/Bills/Chargers/Ravens fan.
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Mismanaging the clock. |
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12-22-2015, 08:29 AM | #97 |
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12-22-2015, 08:37 AM | #98 |
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When was the last time a Chiefs and Raiders game actually meant something?
Would be great to beat Oakland and clinch the division at the same time.
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12-22-2015, 08:49 AM | #99 |
Can these boys not play?
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Yeah, I have visions of Chucky jumping up and down like he won the Superbowl though. Bet they bring their A game.
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12-22-2015, 09:40 AM | #100 | |
You gotta kill a few people
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Quote:
2011. Week 17, IIRC. We had the opportunity to win the division by beating them and we lost. Raiders blocked two field goals in that game. |
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12-22-2015, 09:51 AM | #101 | |
#triggering
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Quote:
Patriots lose @ Jets (possible) and @ Dolphins (not likely). And then Denver gets the #1 seed. Go Jets and Dolphins.
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12-22-2015, 09:53 AM | #102 | |
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Quote:
That was the game that Dwayne Bowe dropped an easy pass that would have put 6 on the board and sealed the win. |
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12-22-2015, 10:05 AM | #103 |
You gotta kill a few people
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12-22-2015, 11:15 AM | #104 | |
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Quote:
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12-22-2015, 11:22 AM | #105 |
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If that one Bears RB doesn't run out of bounds, Denver sits at home that year.
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