Chiefs Playoff chances, seeds, rooting guide, etc. - Page 8

**DaFace** · 12-07-2015, 04:20 PM

I always think it's fun to watch how our playoff chances shift from week to week as we get closer to the end of the year. Though we don't have cdcox's software to play with this time around, there are a number of websites you can use to get a similar idea of how things will work out.

A couple resources I like:

538.com's predictor updates after very game, includes game win probabilities and probabilities for a variety of playoff scenarios. Based on an Elo model that (if I understand it correctly) basically just looks at end-of-game score differentials compared to predicted differentials to arrive at a power rating of sorts.

The New York Times has a simulator kind of like what cdcox's software used to do. It's based on Sagarin ratings, which have a complicated methodology that isn't even entirely known, but it's some sort of model. The nice thing about this one is that you can mess with scenarios to see how they impact our odds.

Feel free to post other resources, power rankings, whatever. I mostly just want a place for me to post my random thoughts about the possibilities!

ThaVirus · 12-22-2015, 11:23 AM

Marion Barber, I think that was. Teams played like absolute idiots against the Broncos that year. Tebow never should have been a thing.

**BigMeatballDave** · 12-22-2015, 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower

If that one Bears RB doesn't run out of bounds, Denver sits at home that year.

Or if the Chiefs defend the one ****ing pass that Tebow completed that day...

TEX · 12-22-2015, 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mile High Mania

Just need Denver to win both games at home.
Patriots lose @ Jets (possible) and @ Dolphins (not likely).

And then Denver gets the #1 seed. Go Jets and Dolphins.

How the hell is Denver getting the # 1 seed when they're going to lose to the Bengals and Chargers?

Mile High Mania · 12-22-2015, 03:03 PM

Here you go, with a bye locked up ... the Patriots will give some thought to resting the starters @ Jets and/or @ Dolphins. Which is to say, they very likely won't rest them. But, who knows. One can hope... doesn't matter though if Denver doesn't pull their head out and change the course of the last few weeks. It's set up very well for them, now it's time for them to act like they want it more than the fans want it.

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap300...sting-starters

ROYC75 · 12-22-2015, 04:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mile High Mania

Just need Denver to win both games at home.
Patriots lose @ Jets (possible) and @ Dolphins (not likely).

And then Denver gets the #1 seed. Go Jets and Dolphins.

So you are saying you want to be the 1st # 1 seed to go down this year ?

Paniero · 12-22-2015, 04:55 PM

If KC goes to Houston for a game, I'm headed there. Any hot Chiefsplanet babes want to ride out?

Chiefs Pantalones · 12-22-2015, 04:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paniero

If KC goes to Houston for a game, I'm headed there. Any hot Chiefsplanet babes want to ride out?

Frazod will ride you.

Paniero · 12-22-2015, 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiefs Pantalones

Frazod will ride you.

Cool. Does she or he have at least B cup breast? Criteria must be met, you know.

ModSocks · 12-22-2015, 05:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paniero

Cool. Does she or he have at least B cup breast? Criteria must be met, you know.

Frazod hasn't been a B-cup since his pre-teen years.

**OnTheWarpath15** · 12-22-2015, 06:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Detoxing

Frazod hasn't been a B-cup since his pre-teen years.

Discuss Thrower · 12-22-2015, 06:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Detoxing

Frazod hasn't been a B-cup since his pre-teen years.

KChiefs1 · 12-22-2015, 09:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigMeatballDave

When was the last time a Chiefs and Raiders game actually meant something?

Don't remind me.

KChiefs1 · 12-22-2015, 09:24 PM

**Rain Man** · 12-22-2015, 11:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KChiefs1

Wait, what?

Discuss Thrower · 12-22-2015, 11:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rain Man

Wait, what?

12-07-2015, 04:20 PM
DaFace Kind of a mod Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Donkey Land Casino cash: $1876899	Playoff chances, seeds, rooting guide, etc. I always think it's fun to watch how our playoff chances shift from week to week as we get closer to the end of the year. Though we don't have cdcox's software to play with this time around, there are a number of websites you can use to get a similar idea of how things will work out. A couple resources I like: 538.com's predictor updates after very game, includes game win probabilities and probabilities for a variety of playoff scenarios. Based on an Elo model that (if I understand it correctly) basically just looks at end-of-game score differentials compared to predicted differentials to arrive at a power rating of sorts. The New York Times has a simulator kind of like what cdcox's software used to do. It's based on Sagarin ratings, which have a complicated methodology that isn't even entirely known, but it's some sort of model. The nice thing about this one is that you can mess with scenarios to see how they impact our odds. Feel free to post other resources, power rankings, whatever. I mostly just want a place for me to post my random thoughts about the possibilities!
Posts: 51,878

12-22-2015, 11:23 AM	#106
ThaVirus You gotta kill a few people Join Date: Sep 2007 Casino cash: $1932369	Marion Barber, I think that was. Teams played like absolute idiots against the Broncos that year. Tebow never should have been a thing.
Posts: 44,384

12-22-2015, 03:03 PM	#109
Mile High Mania #triggering Join Date: Aug 2000 Location: Tejas Casino cash: $3547229	Here you go, with a bye locked up ... the Patriots will give some thought to resting the starters @ Jets and/or @ Dolphins. Which is to say, they very likely won't rest them. But, who knows. One can hope... doesn't matter though if Denver doesn't pull their head out and change the course of the last few weeks. It's set up very well for them, now it's time for them to act like they want it more than the fans want it. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap300...sting-starters __________________
Posts: 30,328

12-22-2015, 04:55 PM	#111
Paniero Chief Boot Knocker Join Date: Sep 2005 Casino cash: $8976756	If KC goes to Houston for a game, I'm headed there. Any hot Chiefsplanet babes want to ride out? __________________ The Devil of DFW.
Posts: 684

12-22-2015, 09:24 PM	#118
KChiefs1 I’m a Mahomo! Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Mid-Missouri Casino cash: $6771021	Playoff chances, seeds, rooting guide, etc. __________________
Posts: 54,038