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Old 12-28-2014, 05:15 PM  
Prison Bitch Prison Bitch is offline
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6-10 Team with Chase Daniel

Someone at the game today made a comment that we should play Chase Daniel next year and "get rid of that clown Smith". Like always, I wanted to see what the data suggests.


We have almost no sample size for Daniel as he's played 2 games. We have a large sample size for Alex though. QB rating is extremely correlated to wins in the NFL. The average rating is 84: a team can expect an additional win (or loss) moving approximately 6 points from the median. Alex had a 93 rating and Daniel had a 75 rating today. That's an implied swing of 3 full games if we assume static performance.


While there is no way to know if Daniel would perform differently over the course of a season, it's doubtful any teams (or our own coaching staff) believe he could. Else, he'd be picked up as a starter. Whether Chiefs fans see any value finishing 9-7 vs 6-10 if you miss the playoffs regardless is another discussion.
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:20 AM   #256
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Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0 View Post
People trying to discredit Russell Wilson make me laugh. You really have to not watch him play to think he's not the most valuable player on that entire team.
The entire defense and Lynch are all more valuable than Wilson.
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:22 AM   #257
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0 View Post
you don't have to praise him

but you shouldn't pretend like he's a terrible NFL QB

because he's not

he does make football a lot more boring for me, though, since I do like QB's who actually throw the ball down the field
He's just not good. Top couple of spots in the bottom half of the league. Twelve would be his absolute pinnacle if he had a brilliant season by Smith standards. Probably more in the 16 - 20 range on average. And paid like he's top ten. Woo ****ing hoo.
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:23 AM   #258
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That's really a stupid post. Wow.
I know you're not intelligent, just based off your QB analysis.. but can you comprehend an Elite QB and an Elite Defense? Can you try to comprehend the likelihood of winning multiple and consecutive ships would be greatly increased.. more so than RW who often posts sub 200 yard games and average performances relying on lynch and game changing defense? Prob not huh?
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:23 AM   #259
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Originally Posted by RobBlake View Post
yeah. ain't gonna happen with russell
oh

this is really brilliant insight

(I'm used to it with you)

the Seahawks are at -125 to win the NFC Championship

but again

thanks for that brilliant insight
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:24 AM   #260
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Originally Posted by GoChargers View Post
The entire defense and Lynch are all more valuable than Wilson.
that's just incredibly dumb

that's all I can say

It's 2014.

Marshawn Lynch is not more valuable to the Seahawks than Russell Wilson. It's literally the dumbest thing one could ever think. It's mind numbingly dumb.
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:26 AM   #261
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I get excited for Alex being our qb like I'm excited bowe is our number one.

Are they both alright? Sure. Am I happy they're our best options at their positions?

**** no.
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:27 AM   #262
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Originally Posted by Hootie 2.0 View Post
oh

this is really brilliant insight

(I'm used to it with you)

the Seahawks are at -125 to win the NFC Championship

but again

thanks for that brilliant insight
Dynasties are built on Superbowl rings, not NFCCGs. Seahawks are more than beatable neutral setting. Dallas has the best chance to beat them in that game you mention.
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:27 AM   #263
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but I guess no one remembers how good Warrick Dunn and T.J. Duckett were at running the football when Mike Vick rushed for 1000 yards one season.

Marshawn Lynch has the easiest running back job in the NFL.

and, when Lynch is not on the Hawks next year, and one of their slapdick backups Turbin or Michael take over and there is NO DROP OFF AT ALL, I'll make you a deal and promise I won't say "told you."

Oh who am I kidding. Yes I will.
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:27 AM   #264
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Wilson is great to watch btw. If you don't think he's Seattles engine then you haven't watched them much.
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:28 AM   #265
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I get excited for Alex being our qb like I'm excited bowe is our number one.

Are they both alright? Sure. Am I happy they're our best options at their positions?

**** no.
totally agree
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:29 AM   #266
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that's just incredibly dumb

that's all I can say

It's 2014.

Marshawn Lynch is not more valuable to the Seahawks than Russell Wilson. It's literally the dumbest thing one could ever think. It's mind numbingly dumb.
no, its the defense first, then lynch and THEN Russel Wilson.

Prove why RW is the MVP of the seahawks.
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:29 AM   #267
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Dynasties are built on Superbowl rings, not NFCCGs. Seahawks are more than beatable neutral setting. Dallas has the best chance to beat them in that game you mention.
totally agree

right now, on sportsbook, the Hawks and Pats are the favorites at 2.5 : 1

however, RobBlake said "ain't happening with Russ" so I certainly will not be betting on the Seahawks based off of this well researched and brilliant insight

so thanks a lot man; you really helped me out
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:30 AM   #268
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RobBlake View Post
I know you're not intelligent, just based off your QB analysis.. but can you comprehend an Elite QB and an Elite Defense? Can you try to comprehend the likelihood of winning multiple and consecutive ships would be greatly increased.. more so than RW who often posts sub 200 yard games and average performances relying on lynch and game changing defense? Prob not huh?
Well, nothing quite like judging the overall quality of a qb off of his first 3 years, but considering he won a super bowl and likely will again, I'm sure he'd take that. He's got a lot of time to work on his game. History's going to prove you wrong.
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:32 AM   #269
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Mike Florio thinks he has a shot at league MVP, but feel free to read this, since, like the article says, you clearly aren't watching Seahawks games:

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com...consideration/
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Old 12-29-2014, 12:32 AM   #270
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RobBlake View Post
RW who often posts sub 200 yard games and average performances relying on lynch and game changing defense?
But but but, he's "the engine"!!!

Last year, the Seahawks won a playoff game in which Wilson threw for only 103 yards and ZERO touchdowns against a typical shitty Rob Ryan defense in large part because Lynch scored two touchdowns.

The following week, they were down 10-3 at halftime until Lynch had a 40-yard rushing touchdown to open things up in the third and spark the team. Then the defense came up clutch with three turnovers in the 4th quarter.

Wilson is a game manager with the easiest job imaginable.
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