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Old 01-01-2023, 11:05 PM  
Chiefshrink Chiefshrink is offline
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Is there any team that we do not want to face early on IF we get the

number 2 or 3 seed? Still a lot to shake out for sure but it might be that the 3 seed might be better or vice versa depending on the shake out after next week. Does any team/teams concern you regardless of seed ??

Thoughts ??
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Old 01-02-2023, 08:44 AM   #31
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TBH only worried about Cin and Buff.
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Old 01-02-2023, 08:46 AM   #32
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Old 01-02-2023, 08:52 AM   #33
007 007 is offline
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If buffalo wins tonight we are the two seed regardless. I think that's why the NFL put us on Saturday.
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Old 01-02-2023, 09:07 AM   #34
TwistedChief TwistedChief is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 007 View Post
If buffalo wins tonight we are the two seed regardless. I think that's why the NFL put us on Saturday.
No, if Buffalo loses next week against the Patriots and we win, we’re the 1 seed.
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Old 01-02-2023, 09:13 AM   #35
ThaVirus ThaVirus is offline
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No, if Buffalo loses next week against the Patriots and we win, we’re the 1 seed.
Yeah, I believe there is still a path to the #1, #2 and #3 seed for all of BUF, KC and CIN. Every team has something to play for these last two weeks (well, last week for KC now).
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Old 01-02-2023, 09:14 AM   #36
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No, if Buffalo loses next week against the Patriots and we win, we’re the 1 seed.

Ah yeah. I knew I probably overlooked something. Carry on.
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Old 01-02-2023, 09:30 AM   #37
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Yeah, I believe there is still a path to the #1, #2 and #3 seed for all of BUF, KC and CIN. Every team has something to play for these last two weeks (well, last week for KC now).
Yeah, I just put a bit more thought into it.

-BUF gets the #1 seed if they win out. Simplest path there. They hold their own destiny.

If this happens, KC is locked in at the #2 regardless because CIN would have dropped one to BUF and they could no longer tie our record. It'd be #1 BUF #2 KC #3 CIN.

-KC gets the #1 seed if they win out and BUF loses just one game out of their remaining two @CIN and NE.

Pretty simple here as well. If KC wins and BUF loses just one more, we end up at 14-3 and they're, as well as CIN, capped at 13-4. No tiebreakers necessary. It'd be #1 KC and seeding for BUF and CIN depend on who wins their head-to-head and how they fare in their final games (both of which would be against division rivals).

-CIN gets the #1 seed if they win out and KC loses @LV.

This would lead to a three-way tie at the top with all three teams having 13-4 records. CIN wins the head-to-head tiebreaker over BUF/KC and BUF wins the head-to-head tiebreaker over KC. In this scenario, it'd be #1 CIN #2 BUF #3 KC.
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Old 01-02-2023, 09:31 AM   #38
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The way we have been playing, I'm worried about all teams.

We MUST STOP the turnovers, ST ****ups and 3rd down penalties on defense.

If we fix all 3, we will beat everyone.
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Old 01-02-2023, 10:34 AM   #39
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The Raiders are going to be out for blood next week. The rivalry isn't as intense as it used to be but there's certainly no love loss.
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Old 01-02-2023, 10:36 AM   #40
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I posted this in a different thread, but this site gives probabilities for the various scenarios. Based on that, our potential opponents are:

50% - Bye
28% - Dolphins
9% - Steelers
6% - Ravens
5% - Patriots
2% - Jaguars
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Old 01-02-2023, 10:38 AM   #41
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Originally Posted by DaFace View Post
I posted this in a different thread, but this site gives probabilities for the various scenarios. Based on that, our potential opponents are:

50% - Bye
28% - Dolphins
9% - Steelers
6% - Ravens
5% - Patriots
2% - Jaguars
Damn, we are 50/50 to get home field.

That's pretty damn good odds TBH.
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Old 01-02-2023, 10:40 AM   #42
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Damn, we are 50/50 to get home field.

That's pretty damn good odds TBH.
Their model is pretty simplistic (just using W-L ratio I believe), but still. Looking around online, it's generally in the range of 45-50% Chiefs, 40-45% Bills, and 5-10% Bengals for the 1 seed.

It's mostly just driven by the fact that the Bills have to win twice to get the bye, and we just have to win once.
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Old 01-02-2023, 10:44 AM   #43
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Chargers are playing good football and they have Joey bosa back. I really hope we avoid them in the first round.
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Old 01-02-2023, 10:46 AM
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Old 01-02-2023, 10:49 AM   #44
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1. Chargers- Because they are getting healthy and always play KC close. Since Herbert arrived every game is close.

2. Bengals- KC might have had a chance at winning the last three games, but they couldn’t do it.
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