NFL Week 17 - Sunday Games

[Bearcat]

Originally Posted by kstater

Except there's 6(and likely a 7th in the Ravens after next week) teams with .700 records. I'd call that top heavy to go along with the bottom heavy.

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Here's the recent past on it. It'll stay at 6 currently unless the Packers come back and win, but we could say 7.

	Under .300	Over .700
2024	9	        7
2023	5	        4
2022	6	        7
2021	6	        6
2020	6	        6
2019	4	        6
2018	4	        5

That's an average of 5.7 teams under .300 and 5.85 teams over .700, and for the 3 additional teams under .300 there's one additional over .700.

I'm watching the Packers, down 13-3 at the moment and their biggest wins of the year are the Texans and then... uh, Colts?

I guess the main question is if you think all of these .700 teams are legit as good as their record (meaning they didn't just beat up on all of those .300 teams).

And I guess for that, we could look at SoV over the years for playoff teams....

2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
0.464	0.529	0.422	0.48	0.464	0.484	0.401
0.436	0.471	0.471	0.517	0.471	0.477	0.494
0.549	0.428	0.49	0.428	0.448	0.411	0.435
0.392	0.465	0.438	0.462	0.398	0.488	0.45
0.446	0.513	0.341	0.515	0.401	0.363	0.422
0.354	0.358	0.456	0.394	0.406	0.465	0.456
0.338	0.571	0.456	0.49	0.384	0.466	0.488
0.483	0.475	0.46	0.48	0.387	0.428	0.428
0.454	0.392	0.414	0.443	0.406	0.459	0.419
0.446	0.436	0.425	0.431	0.404	0.417	0.444
0.465	0.379	0.426	0.409	0.388	0.463	0.4
0.385	0.476	0.485	0.492	0.392	0.356	0.486
0.408	0.453	0.395	0.438	0.484		
0.333	0.458	0.382	0.35	0.336		
						
0.425	0.457	0.433	0.452	0.412	0.440	0.444

We're at the 2nd lowest mark in the past several years for playoff teams, which tells me the top teams are on average feasting on the rest of the league (especially since damn near half the league could wind up with 10+ wins, yet SoV for playoff teams is that low?).

Thanks for attending my TED talk.