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Old 12-09-2009, 03:11 PM  
Red Dawg Red Dawg is offline
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Brady has lost 5 with the same players Matt had...

just saying Matt haters need to get real. The team is awful not Matt.
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Old 12-10-2009, 12:27 PM   #136
Mile High Mania Mile High Mania is offline
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Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58 View Post
Fact:

.516 > .480

Keep ignoring it, or making excuses for it.
I'm not ignoring anything... I just think this is one of the 'stats' that is a bit less meaningful than others.

Excuses... you were the one talking about "4 cupcakes" in 2008 right?

Again, if you were to put our two scenarios up in a poll... more people would choose my version of this tale than your version. Overall winning % (strength of schedule) comparisons is just a very 'loose' stat to use. If you can't see that, there's nothing I can do to help you.
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Old 12-10-2009, 12:36 PM   #137
OnTheWarpath15 OnTheWarpath15 is offline
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Originally Posted by Mile High Mania View Post
I'm not ignoring anything... I just think this is one of the 'stats' that is a bit less meaningful than others.

Excuses... you were the one talking about "4 cupcakes" in 2008 right?

Again, if you were to put our two scenarios up in a poll... more people would choose my version of this tale than your version. Overall winning % (strength of schedule) comparisons is just a very 'loose' stat to use. If you can't see that, there's nothing I can do to help you.
It's such a loose stat that the NFL uses it for tiebreakers, and to determine draft order.

It's not meaningful to you because it invalidates your argument.

And regarding the cupcakes, I think that gets explained quite well in post 128.

Playing weak teams makes for a weaker schedule.

The Pats played more weak teams in 2008, and have played more 6 to 10 win teams in 2009, while playing the same number of 11+ win teams.

You're making it out as if NE has played a bunch of scrubs other than Indy and New Orleans, when actually, they've played nothing but teams that will end up in that 6-10 win range, with the exception of Tampa. (and maybe Buffalo)
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Old 12-10-2009, 12:45 PM   #138
Mile High Mania Mile High Mania is offline
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Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58 View Post
It's such a loose stat that the NFL uses it for tiebreakers, and to determine draft order.

It's not meaningful to you because it invalidates your argument.

And regarding the cupcakes, I think that gets explained quite well in post 128.

Playing weak teams makes for a weaker schedule.

The Pats played more weak teams in 2008, and have played more 6 to 10 win teams in 2009, while playing the same number of 11+ win teams.

You're making it out as if NE has played a bunch of scrubs other than Indy and New Orleans, when actually, they've played nothing but teams that will end up in that 6-10 win range, with the exception of Tampa. (and maybe Buffalo)
In 2008, of 32 NFL teams... only 8 teams failed to hit 6 wins.
In 2007, of 32 NFL teams... only 8 teams failed to hit 6 wins.
In 2006, of 32 NFL teams... only 6 teams failed to hit 6 wins.

75% or more of the teams in the NFL finish with 6 wins every year... what's so special about the 6 win mark? At least you've moved it up from 5.

And, regarding the scrubs... yes, compared to the teams with winning records that they played in 2008... they are playing a bunch of teams that have failed to do better than .500.

I realize as a Chiefs' fan you see .500 as a great achievement (sorry, the window was open and I took a cheap shot), but .500 really isn't special.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:00 PM   #139
OnTheWarpath15 OnTheWarpath15 is offline
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Originally Posted by Mile High Mania View Post
In 2008, of 32 NFL teams... only 8 teams failed to hit 6 wins.
In 2007, of 32 NFL teams... only 8 teams failed to hit 6 wins.
In 2006, of 32 NFL teams... only 6 teams failed to hit 6 wins.

75% or more of the teams in the NFL finish with 6 wins every year... what's so special about the 6 win mark? At least you've moved it up from 5.
And last year, NE played 4 of those 8 teams.

This year, they'll play 1, possibly 2.

Add that to the fact that they've played more teams in that 6-10 win range, and you have this:

.516 > .480



You want to take out the 4 teams under 6 wins from last year? That should help your argument. I mean, those bad teams are making it look like you played a soft schedule.

Done. .572 in 2008

To be fair, we have to take out the 4 worst records of 2009.

Damn. .606 in 2009


Let's try to help you again.


Since they faced 3 teams with 10 wins or more last year, and will again this year, let's take out and see what happnes, since those pesky undefeated teams are skewing the stats.

2008: .423 in 2008

Damn. .429 in 2009



Conclusion:


The 2009 Patriots are playing better top end teams, and better bottom end teams.

Thus, the schedule is harder this year than last.

.516 > .480
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:04 PM   #140
Mile High Mania Mile High Mania is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58 View Post
And last year, NE played 4 of those 8 teams.

This year, they'll play 1, possibly 2.

Add that to the fact that they've played more teams in that 6-10 win range, and you have this:

.516 > .480



You want to take out the 4 teams under 6 wins from last year? That should help your argument. I mean, those bad teams are making it look like you played a soft schedule.

Done. .572 in 2008

To be fair, we have to take out the 4 worst records of 2009.

Damn. .606 in 2009


Let's try to help you again.


Since they faced 3 teams with 10 wins or more last year, and will again this year, let's take out and see what happnes, since those pesky undefeated teams are skewing the stats.

2008: .423

Damn. 2009: .429



Conclusion:


The 2009 Patriots are playing better top end teams, and better bottom end teams.

Thus, the schedule is harder this year than last.

.516 > .480
We'll see how the final month of games shape up... we can both use the numbers any way we like. It's a fun debate.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:09 PM   #141
Sweet Daddy Hate Sweet Daddy Hate is offline
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Let's just put this where it belongs, and save ourselves a bigger headache:

Cassel sucks. He ****ing sucks. Not compared to any other QB who doesn't play for our team or who I wanted drafted, because that doesn't matter anymore.

Cassel, meet suck. Suck, meet Cassel. There we go, just like a Reeses peanut butter cup; two great tastes that taste great together!

Suck, suck, suck, suck, Suckity-Suckity suck-suck-suck!
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:11 PM   #142
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Wait till January that is when Brady becomes dangerous. I wouldn't want to be playing them in the playoffs.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:18 PM   #143
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You got to love some guys are comparing a FHOFer who is Brady to a game manager in Cassel

I'm not keen to compare Cassell to Brady either, but i note that Brady was often referred to as "just a game manager" until he started getting some real weapons at WR.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:20 PM   #144
Amnorix Amnorix is offline
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Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58 View Post
There is NOTHING that can back up the claim that last year's schedule was harder than this years.
Suffice to say both schedules were fairly soft, really. It's not really a debate worth having, to be honest.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:24 PM   #145
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Originally Posted by OnTheWarpath58 View Post

You can break it down however you want.

Last year, they played 3 teams that won more than 10 games.

This year, they'll play 3 teams than won more than 10 games, unless Denver loses 3 of their last 4.

Last year, they played 6 teams that were within 2 games either side of .500 (6-10 to 10-6)

This year, it's difficult to predict, because there are still 4 weeks to go. Even conservatively, you would expect the following teams to fall between 6 and 10 wins:

Miami, Jets, Atlanta, Baltimore and Jacksonville are already there. (5)

Tennessee, Carolina and Houston are one win away. (3)

Buffalo would have to go .500 to get there.

Realistically, that's 8 teams that fall in the 6-10 win range, compared to 6 in 2008.

Then, there's the bottom of the barrel teams. 5 wins or less.

2008: STL, KC, Seattle and Oakland. (4)

2009: Tampa. Outside chance that Buffalo loses 3 of their last 4. (2, at max)
2 major flaws in this. You are not taking into account that division rivals are played 2x. You keep using the term teams with x record. It should be games against teams with x record. Immediately that puts them playing 4 games against teams last year with better than 11 wins not 3 with better than 10. In fact it is 2 games against 11 wins (Miami) and 2 against 12 wins (Indy and Pitt)

That by itself makes last years schedule tougher using your top and bottom tier logic.

Then you want to say teams with 6-10 wins are equal in this analysis. BMFS. You cannot tell me a 6 win team is equal to a 10 win team so using that as your cut off line is ****ing reeruned.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:29 PM   #146
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All that being said, Cassel is playing with fewer play makers but he is not helping himself at all.

NE would be worse off with Cassel right now (duh) so that kind of blows up the original point of this thread.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:32 PM   #147
Tribal Warfare Tribal Warfare is offline
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Originally Posted by Amnorix View Post
I'm not keen to compare Cassell to Brady either, but i note that Brady was often referred to as "just a game manager" until he started getting some real weapons at WR.
I never heard that I've always heard the citations that he's the "Golden QB" during the playoffs because he can take the team on his back in the playoffs to the SB.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:37 PM   #148
OnTheWarpath15 OnTheWarpath15 is offline
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Suffice to say both schedules were fairly soft, really. It's not really a debate worth having, to be honest.
I think people see the downturn in the division and assume that makes for an easier schedule.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:46 PM   #149
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I'd compare Cassel to Huard more than any body. Both came in to relieve their injured QB and saved the season from disaster. Then oh my he could be the savior for our team and every body is happy and ruiten for him saying he could do no wrong. But reality strikes and he sucks cuz he was a career back up for NEW ENGLAND and not a starting QB to begin with but they both had beaten teams so yea lets go with them no matter how much they suck week to week off target game managers.
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Old 12-10-2009, 01:49 PM   #150
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I think people see the downturn in the division and assume that makes for an easier schedule.
Well... ummm, if you look at the Winning % of those AFCE teams (MIA and NYJ) in 2008 compared to 2009.... would that not support the claim?

Miami won 11 games and the Jets won 9 games in 2008.
Right now, with 4 games left... both teams are 6-6. So, Miami cannot reach that 11 win mark (lower winning %) and the Jets have to win 3 of 4 against the Bucs, Falcons, Colts and Bengals to match 9 wins.

So, if you're going to stand up and wave the "winning %" card... how can you support that 2009 is tougher within the AFCE than 2008?
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