Chiefs **** OFFICIAL comprehensive Chiefs playoff scenario thread **** - Page 2

**cdcox** · 08:16 PM

(DaFace's edit to add updated scenarios...)

Quote:

Originally Posted by alnorth

Three ways into the playoffs:

1) we win out

2) we lose one and the chargers lose at least 1

3) We lose out, the chargers lose out, and the raiders lose next week to the Colts

Frosty · 12-13-2010, 09:33 AM

So, basically every game from here on out is a playoff game.

|Zach| · 12-13-2010, 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Frosty

So, basically every game from here on out is a playoff game.

That is more SD's position than ours.

JD10367 · 12-13-2010, 09:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cdcox

To win a Wild Card position

1. Win two of our games and finish 10-6 AND
…. well this is where it gets really complicated. Basically we want the following:
a. At least one Miami loss AND
i. The Jets lose all three games to Pittsburgh, Chicago, and Buffalo OR
ii. The Ravens to lose 3 out of 4 to Houston, New Orleans, Cleveland and Cincinnatti.

The Miami loss is highly possible, given their schedule. And the Jets are very likely to lose against the Steelers and Bears. But asking Buffalo to beat the Jets is a tall order. It would really suck if the Chiefs lost out on a playoff spot because they end up 10-6 and tied with those shitbag Jets and the Jets get in...

Frosty · 12-13-2010, 09:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by |Zach|

That is more SD's position than ours.

Do you think it likely that SD will lose any of their remaining games? They have a pretty easy schedule from here on out. If Cinci were playing for something, that might be a possibility, but it looks like they've mailed it in.

donkhater · 12-13-2010, 09:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JD10367

The Miami loss is highly possible, given their schedule. And the Jets are very likely to lose against the Steelers and Bears. But asking Buffalo to beat the Jets is a tall order. It would really suck if the Chiefs lost out on a playoff spot because they end up 10-6 and tied with those shitbag Jets and the Jets get in...

The way the Jets are playing, losing to Buffalo, a team that has played hard all year and (I bet) would like nothing better than to knock the NYJets out of the playoffs, is not a reach at all.

|Zach| · 12-13-2010, 09:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Frosty

Do you think it likely that SD will lose any of their remaining games? They have a pretty easy schedule from here on out. If Cinci were playing for something, that might be a possibility, but it looks like they've mailed it in.

I heard this song and dance right before they played Oakland. Seriously. Not trying to be a dick just representing the situation as it is.

Frosty · 12-13-2010, 09:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by |Zach|

I heard this song and dance right before they played Oakland. Seriously. Not trying to be a dick just representing the situation as it is.

Anything can happen but I sure as hell wouldn't count on it.

**The Bad Guy** · 12-13-2010, 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Frosty

Anything can happen but I sure as hell wouldn't count on it.

No one was counting on an Oakland win either.

The 49ers and Bengals games will be tests for SD. The Bengals haven't been bad at home, and SD is a subpar road team at best. Yeah, they are 2-11, but they have a run game, 2 good WRs and it will be cold as hell there in late December.

San Diego is 7-6 for a reason.

Frosty · 12-13-2010, 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Bad Guy

The 49ers and Bengals games will be tests for SD.

I forgot about the 49ers, especially on a short week. The 49ers are a bit like Oakland in that they are a smashmouth team, so that's a maybe.

I wish I felt better about the Chiefs at the Rams.

CaliforniaChief · 12-13-2010, 10:27 AM

The 49'ers are still playing for something, believe it or not. Who knows? As pissed as I am about yesterday, I remind myself of this:

If you had told me at the beginning of this season that with 3 games to go...2 of them at home...we control our playoff destiny to win the AFC West, well I would have taken that scenario every single time.

Hopefully we approach the Rams like we did the Seahawks' game.

**The Bad Guy** · 12-13-2010, 10:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Frosty

I forgot about the 49ers, especially on a short week. The 49ers are a bit like Oakland in that they are a smashmouth team, so that's a maybe.

I wish I felt better about the Chiefs at the Rams.

The 49ers are an insanely weird team. I think they matchup well with the Chargers from a defensive standpoint. Manusky spent time in SD, Willis is a monster, their D-line is playing heads and shoulders better.

The wildcard will be Alex Smith. If he plays like he did against Seattle it will be a good game.

**The Bad Guy** · 12-13-2010, 10:43 AM

Like the other poster said, the 49ers can still win that awful division so they have motivation. The 49ers also were a bad Nate Clements decision (where he fumbled the INT that would have sealed the game) from beating the Falcons in Atlanta.

Frosty · 12-13-2010, 10:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Bad Guy

The 49ers are an insanely weird team. I think they matchup well with the Chargers from a defensive standpoint. Manusky spent time in SD, Willis is a monster, their D-line is playing heads and shoulders better.

The wildcard will be Alex Smith. If he plays like he did against Seattle it will be a good game.

It's too bad that they lost Gore. The Chargers seem vulnerable to smash mouth teams. I don't think it will go well if the 49ers have to count on Smith.

carlos3652 · 12-13-2010, 10:56 AM

Question,

Lets say we lose one more game, finishing 10-6.

San Diego wins out finishing 10-6 winning the division based on Conf. Record.

Indianapolis wins out finishing 10-6 winning their division and leaving the Jags at 10-6 or worse.

Jets losing to @ Pitt @ Chi and Buff to finish out the season at 9-7.

Would this be the only Scenario that the 10-6 Chiefs have to make the playoffs?

**cdcox** · 12-13-2010, 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by carlos3652

Question,

Lets say we lose one more game, finishing 10-6.

San Diego wins out finishing 10-6 winning the division based on Conf. Record.

Indianapolis wins out finishing 10-6 winning their division and leaving the Jags at 10-6 or worse.

Jets losing to @ Pitt @ Chi and Buff to finish out the season at 9-7.

Would this be the only Scenario that the 10-6 Chiefs have to make the playoffs?

No. There are many, many scenarios by which the Chiefs can make the playoffs at 10-6. Too many to go through one-by-one.

To illustrate the complexity, your scenario does not guarantee a Chiefs playoff birth. Even throwing in a Miami loss to drop them out, leaves the Chiefs at only 67% chance of making the playoffs if the Jags finish tied with the Chiefs at 10-6. In the scenario you outlined, if the Ravens and Jacksonville both finished 10-6 that would end up with a 3-way tiebreaker, negating our head-to-head tiebreaker over Jacksonville, meaning that Jacksonville would go to the playoffs and the Chiefs would stay home.

So if you add two conditions to your scenario, a Miami loss and that the AFC central runner-up finishes either 11-5 or better or 9-7, then we would go to the playoffs.

12-13-2010, 09:33 AM	#16
Frosty Go Beavers! Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: Washington Casino cash: $3328243	So, basically every game from here on out is a playoff game.
Posts: 14,541

12-13-2010, 10:27 AM	#25
CaliforniaChief #RIPAce Join Date: Jan 2009 Location: So Cal Casino cash: $10455899	The 49'ers are still playing for something, believe it or not. Who knows? As pissed as I am about yesterday, I remind myself of this: If you had told me at the beginning of this season that with 3 games to go...2 of them at home...we control our playoff destiny to win the AFC West, well I would have taken that scenario every single time. Hopefully we approach the Rams like we did the Seahawks' game.
Posts: 17,475

12-13-2010, 10:43 AM	#27
The Bad Guy Scott Pioli Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: The Copacobana Casino cash: $9273645	Like the other poster said, the 49ers can still win that awful division so they have motivation. The 49ers also were a bad Nate Clements decision (where he fumbled the INT that would have sealed the game) from beating the Falcons in Atlanta. __________________
Posts: 23,216

12-13-2010, 10:56 AM	#29
carlos3652 El Diablo Join Date: Dec 2004 Casino cash: $1576679	Question, Lets say we lose one more game, finishing 10-6. San Diego wins out finishing 10-6 winning the division based on Conf. Record. Indianapolis wins out finishing 10-6 winning their division and leaving the Jags at 10-6 or worse. Jets losing to @ Pitt @ Chi and Buff to finish out the season at 9-7. Would this be the only Scenario that the 10-6 Chiefs have to make the playoffs?
Posts: 6,108