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Old 02-11-2009, 12:06 AM   #9
chiefzilla1501 chiefzilla1501 is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DeezNutz View Post
I don't think we've lost sight of anything at all.

The number crunching has been the evidence to prove that you have the best odds of finding a franchise QB early in the draft. Period.

Whether or not Thigpen is a franchise QB isn't worth discussing, IMO.
But again, those numbers are skewed. So you can't put a "period" behind the statement simply because the numbers are available. Yes, first round picks are more likely to be franchise QBs. But again, I'd be interested to review the average number of starts every first round QB has had. My guess is that the majority of first round QBs have had at least 2-3 seasons to develop.

No 3rd round QB would EVER get the amount of time to develop that Eli Manning got. I understand the reasons why. But if they don't get the same opportunities, it's not a fair comparison to say that a 3rd round pick is 100 times less likely to succeed than a 1st round QB.
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