Chubb (CLE) going out of bounds up 10-7?

[DaFace]

Originally Posted by Buehler445

Eh I don’t know.

I know we’re making up probabilities here but let’s go through it:

In order to lose going out of bounds you need the following to happen:
-Cleveland needs to Rivers the snap CLE recover
AND
-Houston to go on a 99 yard drive <:60, provided they don’t advance the recovery. If they do, a shorter drive becomes more probable, a score pretty much ends it.
Unlikely.

In order to lose scoring you need the following to happen:
-Houston to go on a 75 yard (likely) TD drive <:60
AND
-Houston recovers onside kick (which are impossible now unless your playing a short bus team like Atlanta)
AND
Houston manufactures a 50ish yard TD drive in <:60-drive 1. OR Houston manufactures at least a 30 yard drive for a Long FG in <:60-drive 1 and win in overtime.
I’d say about as likely as scenario 1.

I’ll take the points.

Find me any other game that has been lost on a botched kneel down, and I might believe the probabilities are similar.